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    Potential Scenario
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    2020-Ciaroshi-How_COVID-19_Spreads_MathModels
    On December 31, 2019, the Chinese city of Wuhan reported an outbreak of a novel coronavirus (COVID-19) that has since killed over 4,200 people. As of March 11, 2020, over 118,000 infections—have been confirmed by the World Health Organization.
    diseasecovidoutbreakWuhancoronoavirus
    Potential Scenario
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    2018-Van_Kinh Nguyen-Esteban_Hernandez-Vargas-Parameter estimation in mathematical models of viral infections using R
    Mathematical modeling has played a central role to understand mechanisms in different viral infectious diseases. In this approach, biological-based hypotheses are expressed via mathematical relations and then tested based on empirical data.
    simulationdiseasevirusviral infection
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-010-SocialCampaign-ModelingScenario
    The epidemic modeling problem is formulated as a system of three nonlinear, first order differential equations in which three compartments (S, I, and R) of the population are linked.
    diseasegrowth rateJudgment and Decision MakingSIR modelinfections diseasesocial campaignrecovery ratedelay timejoining processquitting processexponential distribution
    Potential Scenario
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    2017-Fred_Adler-Mathematically Modeling Asthma
    Our Asthma models have examined how a viral infection can tip the immune system into a different state, with the potential to predispose an individual to future asthma
    infectionasthmaimmune responserhinovirus
    Potential Scenario
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    2011-Yanyu_Xiao-Study of Malaria Transmission Dynamics by Mathematical Models
    The novelty lies in the fact that different distribution functions are used to describe the variance of individual latencies. The theoretical results of this project indicate that latencies reduce the basic reproduction number.
    infectious diseaseinfectionmalarialatencyspatial dispersalmulti-species
    Potential Scenario
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    2010-Jungck-EtAl-Mathematical Manipulative Models-In Defense of Beanbag Biology
    This paper offers up samples of projects from the Bio- QUEST Curriculum Consortium’s 24-yr experience of holding faculty development workshops for biology and mathematics educators.
    epidemiologysimulationinfectious diseasedisease transmissiondiseasein-class activitybean bag activity
    Potential Scenario
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    2014-Eckhoff-EtAl-Fun with maths-exploring implications of mathematical models for malaria eradication
    . In this note, four examples demonstrate both the effects of model structures and assumptions and also the benefits of using a diversity of model approaches fomalaria eradication strategies.
    vaccinemalariamigrationeradicationseasonality
    Potential Scenario
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    2009-Noakes-Sleigh-Mathematical models for assessing the role of airflow on the risk of airborne infection in hospital wards
    Understanding the risk of airborne transmission can provide important information for designing safe healthcare environments with an appropriate level of environmental control for mitigating risks.
    infectioncompartmenthospitalventilationairbornesthochasticWells–Riley
    Potential Scenario
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    2001-Smith-Moore-The SIR Model for Spread of Disease
    A multiple part tour of SIR Models freely available with Maple, Mathematics, and MatLab support files at MAA site.
    epidemicSIR modelEuler's methodherd immunityHong Kong flu
    Potential Scenario
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    2010-Del-Ciello-EtAl-Modeling Disease
    We model the transmission of a disease through a population. Such modeling is very important to the study of epidemiology and the practice of medicine.
    diseasespreadcarriessymptomaticasymptomatic
    Potential Scenario
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    2006-Loyd-Wodarz-Drug Resistance in Acute Viral Infections-Rhinovirus as a Case Study
    We develop an epidemiological model that can be used to address the spread of resistance at the population level, and a virus dynamics model that can be used to study the dynamics of virus over the time course of an individual’s infection.
    stabilityresistancevirusdrugepidemic competitionimmune responserhinovirus
    Potential Scenario
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    2016-Lofgren-EtAl-Equations of the End Teaching Mathematical Modeling Using the Zombie Apocalypse
    In this article, we explore several uses of zombie epidemics to make mathematical modeling and infectious disease epidemiology more accessible to public health professionals, students, and the general public.
    simulationinfectious diseasediseaseepidemicZombieWhite Zed
    Potential Scenario
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    2016-Lewnard-Townsend-Climatic and evolutionary drivers of phase shifts in the plague epidemics of colonial India
    Our analysis shows that historical datasets can yield powerful insights into the transmission dynamics of reemerging disease agents with which we have limited contemporary experience to guide quantitative modeling and inference.
    infectious diseasepVector-Borne Diseaselagueplague
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-045-CholeraTranmission-ModelingScenario
    During the project described here, the students will learn how to solve and address a practical problem such as cholera transmission using various mathematical tools.
    infectious diseasecholeraendemicdisease-freetransmission ratewaterborne pathogen
    Potential Scenario
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    2011-Nakul-Chitnis-Introduction to Mathematical Epidemiology - Deterministic Compartmental Model
    Deterministic compartmental models form the simplest models in the mathematical study of infectious disease dynamics. They assume that a population is homogenous (all people are the same) and the only distinction is in their disease state.
    sensitivitydiseaseinfectionthresholdcompartmentbifrucation
    Potential Scenario
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    2011-Gaff-Lenhart-Use of optimal control models to predict treatment time for managing tick-borne disease
    Tick-borne diseases have been on the rise recently, and correspondingly, there is an increased interest in implementing control measures to decrease the risk. Optimal control provides an ideal tool to identify the best method for reducing risk.
    diseaseoptimal controlTICKtick modeehrlichiosisbang bang control
    Potential Scenario
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    2018-Nyanginja-Angwenyi-Musyoka-Orwa - Mathematical modeling of the effects of public health education on tungiasis
    In this paper, we formulate and study a mathematical model for the dynamics of jigger infestation incorporating public health education using systems of ordinary differential equations and computational simulations.
    diseaseendemicreproduction numbertungiasisjigger infestation
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-160-HeartDeathRate-ModelingScenario
    Students simulate experience from a given data set which represents the heart death rate during the period 2000 - 2010 using several approaches to include exponential decay, difference equation, differential equation, and parameter estimation...
    dataheart death rate
    Article or Presentation
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    2020-TeachingModule-SpreadOfCommonColdSimulation
    This simulation is meant to introduce the idea of a differential equation model and investigate the impact of heightened hygiene and decreased interactions on the spread of an infectious disease. The focus of this simulation is on the common cold.
    simulationmoduleinfectious diseasediseasespreadTeaching Modulespread of disease
    Potential Scenario
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    2015-Just-Callender-Differential equation models of disease transmission
    The work give full analyses of standard epidemic model and then shows how to do it with differential equations and agent-based modeling. Then it compares the results.
    disease transmissionSIR modelsepidemicagent-based