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Modeling Scenario
240
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1-141-MMGameRevisited-ModelingScenario
It is assumed that the probability of an M&M chocolate, when tossed, falling on the M side is 0.5 The goal is to find a probability distribution of the probability q which is Pr(randomly chosen M&M falling M up when tossed).
Probability
stochastic processes
Bayesian methods
probability distribution
Modeling Scenario
453
views
180
downloads
0
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1-039-StochasticPopModels-ModelingScenario
We develop strategies for creating a population model using some simple probabilistic assumptions. These assumptions lead to a system of differential equations for the probability that a system is in state (or population size) n at time t.
Probability
population dynamics
Variance
Mean
stochastic
deterministic
Modeling Scenario
264
views
215
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0
comments
6-010-SocialCampaign-ModelingScenario
The epidemic modeling problem is formulated as a system of three nonlinear, first order differential equations in which three compartments (S, I, and R) of the population are linked.
disease
growth rate
Judgment and Decision Making
SIR model
infections disease
social campaign
recovery rate
delay time
joining process
quitting process
exponential distribution
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