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    Modeling Scenario
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    1-108-PoissonProcess-ModelingScenario
    In this project students learn to derive the probability density function (pdf) of the Poisson distribution and the cumulative distribution (cdf) of the waiting time. They will use them to solve problems in stochastic processes.
    Probabilitysstochastic processesPoisson processwaiting timearrival
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-027-StochasticProcesses-ModelingScenario
    We build the infinite set of first order differential equations for modeling a stochastic process, the so-called birth and death equations. We will only need to use integrating factor solution strategy or DSolve in Mathematica for success.
    VarianceMeanstochasticrandomoperations researchindustrial engineeringPoisson processtraffic
    Modeling Scenario
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    246

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    5-007-ChemOpt-ModelingScenario
    Modeling a chemical reaction and estimating parameters in the model permits optimization of profits from extracting reactants.
    optimizationpYield and sustainabilitynonprofit managementLaw of Mass Actionkineticreaction
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-001s-StochasticMDeathImmigration-ModelingScenario
    We develop a mathematical model of a death and immigration process using m&ms as a stochastic process with the help of probability generating functions (pgf). We start with 50 m&ms in a bag.
    simulationdatalogisticimmigrationstochasticdeathfitting
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-047a-CondensationOptimization-ModelingScenario
    We seek to optimize a condensation process which is modeled by a simulation using the random motion of 200 particles in a 50 by 50 square in which a particle bounces off the two vertical and top walls and condenses on the bottom wall.
    simulationdataoptimizationenergycondensationbest fitcostsum of scquare errors
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-010-SocialCampaign-ModelingScenario
    The epidemic modeling problem is formulated as a system of three nonlinear, first order differential equations in which three compartments (S, I, and R) of the population are linked.
    diseasegrowth rateJudgment and Decision MakingSIR modelinfections diseasesocial campaignrecovery ratedelay timejoining processquitting processexponential distribution
    Modeling Scenario
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    5-090-SolidParticleErosion-ModelingScenario
    By applying Newton's second law, and making a collection of reasonable assumptions, students will derive a system of differential equations that model the path of a rigid particle as it gouges material from a more ductile surface.
    classical mechanicssolid mechanicsNewton's Laws of Motionrigid bodyplasticitypittingductile surface
    Technique Narrative
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    1-030-RandomPerturbation-TechniqueNarrative
    After a brief historical view of this problem, we will demonstrate the derivation of first order linear differential equations with random perturbations.
    random perturbationBrownian motionLangevin equationRiemann-Steiltjes integralWiener processIto's calculus
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-094-SteepingTea-ModelingScenario
    We provide photographs of steeping process for a tea steeped in hot water. Students build a differential equation model for the steeping process and do parameter estimation using the color of our tea as a way to measure relative concentration.
    concentrationSurface AreacolorNewton's Law of Coolingteasugar
    Modeling Scenario
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    122

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    6-067-LotkaVolterra-ModelingScenario
    This modeling scenario guides students through the process of fitting the Lotka-Volterra model of two differential equations to a real time series observational data. Students use the capabilities of R and R studio.
    time seriesdatacompetitionLotka-Volterramodel fittingpredictiongauseRexperimental
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-038-Ebola-ModelingScenario
    Students will use data published by the World Health Organization to model the 2014 outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa. We begin with a simple exponential growth model and move through the modeling process to the logistic growth model.
    population dynamicsdata analysisexponential growthEbolalogisticepidemic
    Modeling Scenario
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    5-010-DNADegradation-ModelingScenario
    We ask students to use the system of first order linear differential equations given in a source paper and estimates of the data from laboratory procedures from a plot to estimate the parameters and complete the modeling process.
    DNA\kinetisplasmaratpharmacokinetis
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-126-MarriageMath-ModelingScenario
    We will explore a model which describes the process of entry into marriage by an individual. In the model, rate of change in the fraction of the cohort already married will be investigated along with two governing assumptions;.
    marriageGompertz function
    Modeling Scenario
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    308

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    1-006-Financing-ModelingScenario
    We describe two situations, one in which we are saving for a purpose and one in which we are borrowing for a purpose. In the first case we ask for discrete and continuous model of the situation and in the second case we ask that the results of...
    financesavingsloaninterest ratepayment
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-131-CaffeineElimination-ModelingScenario
    We model the concentration of caffeine eliminated from the human body at a rate proportional to the concentration. This is a ``first-order reaction'' in the language of pharmacokinetics -- the study of how drugs move in the body.
    caffeineeliminationpharmacokineticsdrug
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-033-SouthernBarbeque-ModelingScenario
    We offer raw data collected from two thermometers used in the smoking process of Southern barbecue. One thermometer measures the temperature inside of the smoke chamber and the other measures the internal temperature of the meat.
    nonlinear regressionlogisticNewton's Law of Cooling-Warmingbarbecue
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-065-AlgalBlooms-ModelingScenario
    This modeling scenario investigates the massive algal blooms that struck Lake Chapala, Mexico, starting in 1994.
    direction fieldstool:dfieldalgaeharmful algae bloomspopulationcompartmentLake Chapala
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-114-EarthClimate-ModelingScenario
    In this modeling scenario, we investigate the Earth's climate using a zero-dimensional energy balance model. Energy balance models are climate models that try to predict the average surface temperature of the Earth.
    climateenergytemperaturelinearizationphase linesenergy balance modelroot finding
    Modeling Scenario
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    341

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    7-040-TankInterruptMixing-ModelingScenario
    We present a first order differential equation model for the interrupted mixing of a tank with salt water. We offer two solution strategies (1) two step approach and (2) Laplace Transforms.
    Laplace transforminverse Laplace Transformsalttankmixinginterrupt
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-046-GoingViral-ModelingScenario
    Students participate in a simulation of the spread of a viral disease in the classroom and model the process with a logistic differential equation. The simulation uses random numbers and the entire class participates.
    simulationmathematical modeldatalogisticrandom number generatorfittingrandom process