Article Review and Annotation
Intriligator, Michael D. and Dagobert L. Brito. 1988. A Predator-Prey Model of Guerrilla Warfare. Synthese . 76(2): 235-244. Special issue: Formal Analysis in International Relations.
Excerpt from Article Abstract: “The purpose of this paper is to analyze guerrilla warfare by means of a dynamic model. The model suggests specific paths for the evolution of such ward and how such wars might be fought or combatted.”
The authors present a three variable: numbers of guerrillas, numbers of regular (government) soldiers, and size of population controlled by the guerrillas, at time t), nonlinear system of three differential equations and gives a reasonable qualitative analysis whereupon conclusions about long term combat are drawn.
Policy implication are discussed as well.
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