Modeling Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century (Version 1.0)
By Paige Parry
In this module, students use linear regression and comparison of slopes to answer three questions:
How will temperature change over the century in North America?
How will the rate of temperature change vary across different emission scenarios?
Will some locations experience greater rates of change than others?
This module was adapted from an original TIEE module (Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century) to emphasize linear regression, comparison of multiple models, and analysis in R. In particular, the author developed a packet for the exercise that included background from the original TIEE module, warm-up questions, and questions associated with the modeling exercise that guided students through the analysis, required them to make inference on their regression output including a comparison of slopes across models, and guided exploration of the implications of their findings. The author also developed an R script to accompany the exercise that provided examples for students and also required students to write some of their own code.
This module was designed for upper divisions biology majors in an Ecology course.
Parry, P. (2017). Modeling Global Temperature Change in the 21st Century. ESA Data Discovery FMN (2017), QUBES Educational Resources. doi:10.25334/Q4PP4Z