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    Potential Scenario
    161

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    63

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    2015-Just-Callender-Differential equation models of disease transmission
    The work give full analyses of standard epidemic model and then shows how to do it with differential equations and agent-based modeling. Then it compares the results.
    disease transmissionSIR modelsepidemicagent-based
    Potential Scenario
    150

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    1992-Emelie_Kenney-Differential equations and the AIDS epidemic
    This paper describes a lecture for Calculus II students in which the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome was used to motivate study of first-order linear differential equations and the derivative as a rate of change.
    epidemicCDCAIDSDisease Control
    Potential Scenario
    169

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    91

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    2018-Akman-EtAl-Parameter Estimation in Ordinary Differential Equations Modeling via Particle Swarm Optimization
    We demonstrate Particle Swarm Optimization efficacy by showing that it outstrips evolutionary computing methods previously used to analyze an epidemic model.
    epidemicParticle Swarm Optimizationoptimize parameters
    Potential Scenario
    138

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    56

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    2008-Abramson-Mathematical modeling of the spread of infectious diseases
    These are informal notes, mostly based on the bibliography listed at the end and on recent papers in the field. The practical use of these models is based on the fact that they can be kept realistic enough.
    infectious diseasebibliographyepidemiccowpoxsmallpoxcomplex networksspread disease
    Modeling Scenario
    346

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    343

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    1-022-SpreadOfTechnologies-ModelingScenario
    We examine plots on the spread of technologies and ask students to estimate and extract data from the plots and then model several of these spread of technologies phenomena with a logistic differential equation model.
    data analysistechnologylogisticspreadinnovation
    Modeling Scenario
    684

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    629

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    6-001-Epidemic-ModelingScenario
    This paper presents real-world data, a problem statement, and discussion of a common approach to modeling that data, including student responses. In particular, we provide time-series data on the number of boys bedridden due to an outbreak of...
    datadifference equationsparameter estimationcontinuousepidemicdiscreteboarding school
    Article or Presentation
    243

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    529

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    2020-TeachingModule-ModelingNonlethalInfluenzaEpidemic
    We discuss the modeling efforts and tools for success in modeling the spread of nonlethal influenza in an English boarding school
    moduleepidemicboarding schoolTeaching Module
    Modeling Scenario
    257

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    220

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    6-004-VillageEpidemic-ModelingScenario
    Students are offered data from a plague epidemic that occurred in the middle of the seventeenth century in Eyam, a small English village. With only two assumptions offered to students they are to build a mathematical model.
    SIR modelsepidemicsusceptibleinfectiveremovedEyamEnglish village
    Article or Presentation
    129

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    64

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    1992-Emelie_Kenney-Differential_equations_and_the_AIDS_epidemic
    This paper describes a lecture for Calculus II students in which the Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome was used to motivate study of first-order linear differential equations and the derivative as a rate of change.
    datafirst orderparameterAIDS
    Potential Scenario
    216

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    98

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    2001-Smith-Moore-The SIR Model for Spread of Disease
    A multiple part tour of SIR Models freely available with Maple, Mathematics, and MatLab support files at MAA site.
    epidemicSIR modelEuler's methodherd immunityHong Kong flu
    Modeling Scenario
    229

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    343

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    6-019-EnablingEpidemicExploration-ModelingScenario
    We became aware of several interesting possibilities for a modeling opportunity with data and we invited you to explore the several routes to parameter estimation in a SIR model with respect to the data offered.
    Akaike Information CriterionMichaelis-Mentenepidemicsaturationgradientleast sum of square errors
    Potential Scenario
    141

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    55

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    2016-Lewnard-Townsend-Climatic and evolutionary drivers of phase shifts in the plague epidemics of colonial India
    Our analysis shows that historical datasets can yield powerful insights into the transmission dynamics of reemerging disease agents with which we have limited contemporary experience to guide quantitative modeling and inference.
    infectious diseasepVector-Borne Diseaselagueplague
    Potential Scenario
    152

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    54

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    2009-Noakes-Sleigh-Mathematical models for assessing the role of airflow on the risk of airborne infection in hospital wards
    Understanding the risk of airborne transmission can provide important information for designing safe healthcare environments with an appropriate level of environmental control for mitigating risks.
    infectioncompartmenthospitalventilationairbornesthochasticWells–Riley
    Modeling Scenario
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    4066

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    1-038-Ebola-ModelingScenario
    Students will use data published by the World Health Organization to model the 2014 outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa. We begin with a simple exponential growth model and move through the modeling process to the logistic growth model.
    population dynamicsdata analysisexponential growthEbolalogisticepidemic
    Potential Scenario
    155

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    79

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    2016-Manheim-EtAl-Improving Decision Support for Infectious Disease Prevention and Control
    This report describes decision-support tools, including models and nonmodeling approaches, that are relevant to infectious disease prevention, detection, and response and aligns these tools with real-world policy questions that the tools can help...
    infectious diseaseecosystemepidemicmodel policy