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    Potential Scenario
    153

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    2002-Dietz-Heesterbeek-Daniel Bernoulli-epidemiological model revisited
    The seminal paper by Daniel Bernoulli published in 1766 is put into a new perspective. After a short account of smallpox inoculation and of Bernoulli’s life, the motivation for that paper and its impact are described.
    life tableepidemicsmallpoxDaniel Bernoullicompeting riskinoculation
    Potential Scenario
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    2011-Gaff-Lenhart-Use of optimal control models to predict treatment time for managing tick-borne disease
    Tick-borne diseases have been on the rise recently, and correspondingly, there is an increased interest in implementing control measures to decrease the risk. Optimal control provides an ideal tool to identify the best method for reducing risk.
    diseaseoptimal controlTICKtick modeehrlichiosisbang bang control
    Potential Scenario
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    2009-Noakes-Sleigh-Mathematical models for assessing the role of airflow on the risk of airborne infection in hospital wards
    Understanding the risk of airborne transmission can provide important information for designing safe healthcare environments with an appropriate level of environmental control for mitigating risks.
    infectioncompartmenthospitalventilationairbornesthochasticWells–Riley
    Potential Scenario
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    2017-Agmour-EtAl-Optimization of the Two Fishermen's Profits Exploiting Three Competing Species Where Prices Depend on Harvest
    The main purpose of this work is to define the fishing effort that maximizes the profit of each fisherman, but all of them have to respect two constraints: the first one is the sustainable management of the resources and the second one is...
    FishingharvestNash equilibriumoptimizeprofits
    Potential Scenario
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    69

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    2014-Patel-Schlijper-Models of Consumer Behavior
    The problem posed to the Study Group was to construct models for consumer behaviour that might be useful in tools for brand management in markets for fast-moving consumer goods.
    consumer behaviormarket share
    Modeling Scenario
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    409

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    3-087-ThanosPopulationDynamicsInteractingSpecies-ModelingScenario
    Thanos snaps his fingers and turns half of all living creatures to dust with the hope of restoring balance to the natural world. How does this affect the long term behavior of various species?
    species interactionspredator-preycompetitionLotka-Volterrasensitivity analysisdynamicspopulation
    Potential Scenario
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    2005-DieboldEtAl-Modeling Bond Yields In Finance And Macroeconomics
    From a macroeconomic perspective, the short-term interest rate is a policy instrument under the direct control of the central bank. From a finance perspective, long rates are risk-adjusted averages of expected future short rates.
    financeinterest ratebond yieldmacroeconomics
    Potential Scenario
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    2014-Do-Lee-A Differential Equation Model for the Dynamics of Youth Gambling
    We examine the dynamics of gambling among young people aged 16–24 years, how prevalence rates of at-risk gambling and problem gambling change as adolescents enter young adulthood, and prevention and control strategies.
    reproductive numberGamblingepidemicsensitivity indexyouth gambling
    Potential Scenario
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    69

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    2015-Zhang-EtAl-On the Selection of ODE Models with Application to Predator-Prey Dynamical Models
    We propose a computationally inexpensive approach that employs statistical estimation of the full model, followed by a combination of a least squares approximation (LSA) and the adaptive Lasso.
    least-squares approximationSpline modelingMonte Carlo simulationsvariable selectionadaptive LASSO
    Potential Scenario
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    60

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    2014-Murillo-EtAl-Vertical Transmission in a Two-Strain Model of Dengue Fever
    The model is used to show that lower transmission rates of DENV-2 Asian are sufficient for displacing DENV-2 American in the presence of vertical transmission.
    Peruvector-host modeldengueepidemmiologyvertical transmission
    Potential Scenario
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    40

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    2009-Marten-EtAl-Derivation and analysis of an ordinary differential equation for epilepsy dynamics
    In this paper we describe how an ordinary differential equation model of corticothalamic interactions may be obtained from a more general system of delay differential equations.
    delayepilepsy dynamicsepilepsybistabilityseizure activity
    Modeling Scenario
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    5-023-FakingGause-ModelingScenario
    We use a fake or toy data set to permit discovery of the parameters in a two population protozoan model used to study paramecium and yeast competition in the 1930's studies of G. F. Gause in the Soviet Union.
    competitionlogisticyeastGauseparameciumpoplulation
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-067-LotkaVolterra-ModelingScenario
    This modeling scenario guides students through the process of fitting the Lotka-Volterra model of two differential equations to a real time series observational data. Students use the capabilities of R and R studio.
    time seriesdatacompetitionLotka-Volterramodel fittingpredictiongauseRexperimental
    Modeling Scenario
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    265

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    6-040-StruggleForExistence-ModelingScenario
    We use historical data from the 1930's in the Soviet Union and model competition between two species of yeast after modeling each species separately and estimate parameters
    competitionlogisticcarrying capacityparamecium
    Potential Scenario
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    86

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    1975-David_Burghes-Population dynamics An introduction to differential equations
    In this paper a number of population models, which lead to differential equations, are derived. First-order variables separable equations are formulated from the Malthusian population model and its extension to include crowding effects.
    fishpredator-preylogisticpopulationdelaylag
    Potential Scenario
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    2014-Hrydziuszko-EtAl-Mathematical Two-compartment Model of Human Cholesterol Transport
    We develop a two-compartment mathematical model to investigate cholesterol transport in the circulatory system and its de novo synthesis in the liver.
    metabolic syndromecompartmentcholesteroltwo-compartment modelcholesterol transport
    Modeling Scenario
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    7-010-MultipleDoses-ModelingScenario
    Two multiple dose drug administration regimens are offered. A drug is to maintain a certain level (above a set minimum and below a set maximum) in the blood stream and one regimen involves bolus injections and another involves steady drip flow...
    drug discoverystep functiondoseDiracdrug administrationinverse Laplace Transformintraveneousbolussteady drip