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    Technique Narrative
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    1-030-RandomPerturbation-TechniqueNarrative
    After a brief historical view of this problem, we will demonstrate the derivation of first order linear differential equations with random perturbations.
    random perturbationBrownian motionLangevin equationRiemann-Steiltjes integralWiener processIto's calculus
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-027-StochasticProcesses-ModelingScenario
    We build the infinite set of first order differential equations for modeling a stochastic process, the so-called birth and death equations. We will only need to use integrating factor solution strategy or DSolve in Mathematica for success.
    VarianceMeanstochasticrandomoperations researchindustrial engineeringPoisson processtraffic
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-047a-CondensationOptimization-ModelingScenario
    We seek to optimize a condensation process which is modeled by a simulation using the random motion of 200 particles in a 50 by 50 square in which a particle bounces off the two vertical and top walls and condenses on the bottom wall.
    simulationdataoptimizationenergycondensationbest fitcostsum of scquare errors
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-046-GoingViral-ModelingScenario
    Students participate in a simulation of the spread of a viral disease in the classroom and model the process with a logistic differential equation. The simulation uses random numbers and the entire class participates.
    simulationmathematical modeldatalogisticrandom number generatorfittingrandom process
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-047-Condensation-ModelingScenario
    We simulate the random motion of 200 particles in a 50 by 50 square in which a particle bounces off the two vertical and top walls and condenses on the bottom wall. Animations are produced and data is offered for modeling with a differential...
    simulationsum of square errorscondensationbest fit
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-039-StochasticPopModels-ModelingScenario
    We develop strategies for creating a population model using some simple probabilistic assumptions. These assumptions lead to a system of differential equations for the probability that a system is in state (or population size) n at time t.
    Probabilitypopulation dynamicsVarianceMeanstochasticdeterministic
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-001d-HotelPopulationDecay-ModelingScenario
    You will be modeling the following situation: 100 people are in a hotel. Each day, each person has a random chance of 50% of leaving the hotel. No new people enter the hotel. Before you run the simulation in MATLAB, answer some questions.
    simulationlogisticexponential decayfitting
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-108-PoissonProcess-ModelingScenario
    In this project students learn to derive the probability density function (pdf) of the Poisson distribution and the cumulative distribution (cdf) of the waiting time. They will use them to solve problems in stochastic processes.
    Probabilitysstochastic processesPoisson processwaiting timearrival
    Modeling Scenario
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    5-007-ChemOpt-ModelingScenario
    Modeling a chemical reaction and estimating parameters in the model permits optimization of profits from extracting reactants.
    optimizationpYield and sustainabilitynonprofit managementLaw of Mass Actionkineticreaction
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-003-SchoolFluEpidemic-ModelingScenario
    We offer a model of the spread of flu in a school dormitory and are asked to find when the flu levels reach their peak and explain long term behavior of the spread of the flu.
    infectionepidemicSIR modelflupeakschool children
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-001c-PopulationDecayThenSome-ModelingScenario
    You will be modeling the following situation: 100 people are in a hotel. Each day, each person has a random chance of 50% of leaving the hotel. No new people enter the hotel.
    simulationoccupancypopulationhotel
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-084-GoingViral-ModelingScenario
    Students employ randomization in order to create a simulation of the spread of a viral disease in a population (the classroom). Students then use qualitative analysis of the expected behavior of the virus to devise a logistic differential equation.
    simulationlogisticrandomfittingpartial fractions
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-001s-StochasticMDeathImmigration-ModelingScenario
    We develop a mathematical model of a death and immigration process using m&ms as a stochastic process with the help of probability generating functions (pgf). We start with 50 m&ms in a bag.
    simulationdatalogisticimmigrationstochasticdeathfitting
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-010-SocialCampaign-ModelingScenario
    The epidemic modeling problem is formulated as a system of three nonlinear, first order differential equations in which three compartments (S, I, and R) of the population are linked.
    diseasegrowth rateJudgment and Decision MakingSIR modelinfections diseasesocial campaignrecovery ratedelay timejoining processquitting processexponential distribution
    Modeling Scenario
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    5-090-SolidParticleErosion-ModelingScenario
    By applying Newton's second law, and making a collection of reasonable assumptions, students will derive a system of differential equations that model the path of a rigid particle as it gouges material from a more ductile surface.
    classical mechanicssolid mechanicsNewton's Laws of Motionrigid bodyplasticitypittingductile surface
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-035-DotseroVolcanoEruption-ModelingScenario
    In this scenario, we use Carbon-14 dating of the Dotsero volcano in Colorado as a way of emphasizing this multistage process of modeling.
    exponential decayhalf-lifedecayEuler's methodcarbon datingdecay rateCarbon-14Dotsero volcanovolcano
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-008-PursuitModels-Modeling Scenario
    Students are prompted to build systems of nonlinear differential equations to model pursuit-evader activities in which a pursuer attempts to follow, perhaps track down and come close to, an evader without knowledge of the evader's intentions, just...
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-094-SteepingTea-ModelingScenario
    We provide photographs of steeping process for a tea steeped in hot water. Students build a differential equation model for the steeping process and do parameter estimation using the color of our tea as a way to measure relative concentration.
    concentrationSurface AreacolorNewton's Law of Coolingteasugar
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-067-LotkaVolterra-ModelingScenario
    This modeling scenario guides students through the process of fitting the Lotka-Volterra model of two differential equations to a real time series observational data. Students use the capabilities of R and R studio.
    time seriesdatacompetitionLotka-Volterramodel fittingpredictiongauseRexperimental
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-038-Ebola-ModelingScenario
    Students will use data published by the World Health Organization to model the 2014 outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa. We begin with a simple exponential growth model and move through the modeling process to the logistic growth model.
    population dynamicsdata analysisexponential growthEbolalogisticepidemic