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    Modeling Scenario
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    1-039-StochasticPopModels-ModelingScenario
    We develop strategies for creating a population model using some simple probabilistic assumptions. These assumptions lead to a system of differential equations for the probability that a system is in state (or population size) n at time t.
    Probabilitypopulation dynamicsVarianceMeanstochasticdeterministic
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-135-FishHarvesting-ModelingScenario
    This short activity will walk students through a guided list of questions to help them to understand how the stability of equilibrium changes with changes in a model parameter, in this case the rate of harvesting fish.
    population dynamicsfishstabilitybifurcationharvest
    Modeling Scenario
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    3-087-ThanosPopulationDynamicsInteractingSpecies-ModelingScenario
    Thanos snaps his fingers and turns half of all living creatures to dust with the hope of restoring balance to the natural world. How does this affect the long term behavior of various species?
    species interactionspredator-preycompetitionLotka-Volterrasensitivity analysisdynamicspopulation
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-124-WorldPopulation-ModelingScenario
    We build models of world population using data to estimate growth rate.
    population dynamicshumangrowth ratevarying growth rate
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-134-LanguageDynamics-ModelingScenario
    Students will be introduced to a mathematical model for language dynamics. Specifically, the model describes the change in the fraction of a population speaking one language over another.
    languagecompartmentphase linesbifurcationswitching
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-120-CircularRollerCoaster-ModelingScenario
    Students study the dynamics of a circular roller coaster and work out the equations of motion in the ideal case as well as considering the interesting complication of including kinetic friction. This problem is an excellent introduction for students
    population dynamicsenergyFluid Mechanicsmfrictionroller coasterintegration by8 parts
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-016-PandemicModeling-ModelingScenario
    The recent coronavirus outbreak has infected millions of people worldwide and spread to over 200 countries. How can we use differential equations to study the spread of coronavirus?
    population dynamicsinfectious diseasediseaseEbolaeSIR modelsCOVID19pandemicepidemicreproduction number
    Modeling Scenario
    516

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    179

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    1-087-ThanosPopulationDynamics-ModelingScenario
    In the end of the “Avengers Infinity War,” the villain Thanos snaps his fingers and turns half of all living creatures to dust with the hope of restoring balance to the natural world. How does this affect the long term behavior of various species?
    logisticexponentialpopulationThanos
    Modeling Scenario
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    282

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    1-024-MalariaControl-ModelingScenario
    This project offers students a chance to make policy recommendations based on the analysis of models using both linear (exponential decay) and non-linear (logistic growth) differential equations.
    population dynamicsmalariaPolicyDecision-makingEuler's methodpharmacokineticsmosquitoimproved Euler's methodHuen's methodUS Army
    Modeling Scenario
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    102

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    1-067-ModelingWithSigmoidCurves-ModelingScenario
    The assignment considers two well-known models of population growth, Verhulst-Pearl and Gompertz models, for which qualitative and quantitative analyses are provided. The graphs of the corresponding functions have a sigmoidal or S-shape.
    logisticGompertzsigmoidVerhulst-Pearl
    Modeling Scenario
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    135

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    1-143-PopulationModelVariationsMATLAB-ModelingScenario
    Students will walk through a detailed derivation and review of basic population models (exponential and logistic) to create and understand variations of those models.
    population dynamicsecologylogistic growthbifurcation theoryslope fieldsextinctionharvestingqualitative analysisstocking
    Modeling Scenario
    274

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    213

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    6-018-ExploringSIRModel-ModelingScenario
    Students will transform, solve, and interpret Susceptible Infected Recovered (SIR) models using systems of differential equation models. The project is progressively divided into three parts to understand, to apply, and to develop SIR models.
    population dynamicssensitivitydiseaseSIR modelsepidemicrumors
    Modeling Scenario
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    149

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    1-119-DairyFarming-ModelingScenario
    A simple first order population growth model is presented. The challenge is to produce a final differential equation which is the result of the difference or ratio of birth and death rates. This ratio is not immediately intuitive.
    population dynamicsdairyfarmers' marketsgrowthcow
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-150-CancerTherapy-ModelingScenario
    This activity builds upon elementary models on population growth. In particular, we compare two different treatment models of cancer therapy where in one, surgery happens before therapy and in the other, surgery happens after therapy.
    population dynamicsphage therapyexponential growthcancerwater treatmentdecaysurgery
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-038-Ebola-ModelingScenario
    Students will use data published by the World Health Organization to model the 2014 outbreak of the Ebola virus in West Africa. We begin with a simple exponential growth model and move through the modeling process to the logistic growth model.
    population dynamicsdata analysisexponential growthEbolalogisticepidemic
    Technique Narrative
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    214

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    1-009-Bifurcation-TechniqueNarrative
    We lead students to investigate first-order differential equations that contain unknown parameters. Students discover what happens to the qualitative behavior of solutions to these equations as these parameters vary.
    bifurcationqualitative behaviorbifurcation diagram
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-066-USCensusModeling-ModelingScenario
    The United States Census, conducted every 10 years, gives data on the United States population, that can be modeled with the exponential, logistic, or Gompertz functions.
    datalogisticpopulationGompertzcensusgoodness of fit
    Modeling Scenario
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    133

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    6-017-OncolyticViruses-ModelingScenario
    Students explore oncolytic virotherapy using systems of differential equations and numerical simulations.
    cancercancer-immune dynamicsimmune suppressor drugoncolytic virusvirotherapy
    Modeling Scenario
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    1-170-CensusModeling-ModelingScenario
    Students who have studied models for population are likely to be familiar with the exponential and the logistic population models. The goal here is to explore the role of modeling assumptions in choosing which model to use.
    logistic growthexponentialpopulationU.S. Census DataassumptionGoogle SheetsUnites StatesGuatemala
    Modeling Scenario
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    6-045-CholeraTranmission-ModelingScenario
    During the project described here, the students will learn how to solve and address a practical problem such as cholera transmission using various mathematical tools.
    infectious diseasecholeraendemicdisease-freetransmission ratewaterborne pathogen