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6-016-PandemicModeling-ModelingScenario

Author(s): Jue Wang

Keywords: population dynamics infectious disease disease Ebola e SIR models COVID19 pandemic epidemic reproduction number

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Abstract

Resource Image The recent coronavirus outbreak has infected millions of people worldwide and spread to over 200 countries. How can we use differential equations to study the spread of coronavirus?

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Article Context

Resource Type
Differential Equation Type
Technique
Qualitative Analysis
Application Area
Course
Course Level
Lesson Length
Technology
Approach
Skills
Key Scientific Process Skills
Assessment Type
Pedagogical Approaches
Vision and Change Core Competencies - Ability
Principles of How People Learn
Bloom's Cognitive Level

Description

In this activity, students are engaged in the real life challenge to examine the dynamics of the pandemic using systems of nonlinear differential equations. The SIR model, force of infection and basic reproduction number are introduced to guide students to set up the equations and analyze the results. Students obtain estimates of model parameters from the real data and visualize the behavior of the solutions.

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Authors

Author(s): Jue Wang

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