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Modeling Scenario

1-141-MMGameRevisited-ModelingScenario

Author(s): Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi

Keywords: Probability stochastic processes Bayesian methods probability distribution

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Abstract

Resource Image It is assumed that the probability of an M&M chocolate, when tossed, falling on the M side is 0.5 The goal is to find a probability distribution of the probability q which is Pr(randomly chosen M&M falling M up when tossed).

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Description

Give each student a pack of M&M's and tell them to play the game many times, say 30 times, then ask them to report the stable value.

The M&M game results in the stable population of 2Q, where Q is the number of M&M's added at each time step.

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Authors

Author(s): Mehdi Hakim-Hashemi

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