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1988-Michael Intriligator-Dagobert Brito-A Predator-Prey Model of Guerrilla Warfare

Author(s): Michael Intriligator

NA

Keywords: combat model guerrilla warfare government

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Abstract

Resource Image The authors present a three variable: numbers of guerrillas, numbers of regular (government) soldiers, and size of population controlled by the guerrillas, at time t), nonlinear system of three differential equations.

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Differential Equation Type
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Qualitative Analysis
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Article Review and Annotation

Intriligator, Michael D.  and Dagobert L. Brito. 1988.  A Predator-Prey Model of Guerrilla Warfare. Synthese . 76(2): 235-244. Special issue: Formal Analysis in International Relations.

Excerpt from Article Abstract: “The purpose of this paper is to analyze guerrilla warfare by means of a dynamic model. The model suggests specific paths for the evolution of such ward and how such wars might be fought or combatted.”

The authors present a three variable: numbers of guerrillas, numbers of regular (government) soldiers, and size of population controlled by the guerrillas, at time t), nonlinear system of three differential equations and gives a reasonable qualitative analysis whereupon conclusions about long term combat are drawn.

Policy implication are discussed as well.

 

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Author(s): Michael Intriligator

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